Pediatric post-discharge mortality in resource-poor countries: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Background: Under-five mortality remains concentrated in resource-poor countries. Post-discharge mortality is becoming increasingly recognized as a significant contributor to overall child mortality. With a substantial recent expansion of research and novel data synthesis methods, this study aims to update the current evidence base by providing a more nuanced understanding of the burden and associated risk factors of pediatric post-discharge mortality after acute illness. Methods: Eligible studies published between January 1, 2017 and January 31, 2023, were retrieved using MEDLINE, Embase, and CINAHL databases. Studies published before 2017 were identified in a previous review and added to the total pool of studies. Only studies from countries with low or low-middle Socio-Demographic Index with a post-discharge observation period greater than seven days were included. Risk of bias was assessed using a modified version of the Joanna Briggs Institute critical appraisal tool for prevalence studies. Studies were grouped by patient population, and 6-month post-discharge mortality rates were quantified by random-effects meta-analysis. Secondary outcomes included post-discharge mortality relative to in-hospital mortality, pooled risk factor estimates, and pooled post-discharge Kaplan-Meier survival curves. PROSPERO study registration: #CRD42022350975. Findings: Of 1963 articles screened, 42 eligible articles were identified and combined with 22 articles identified in the previous review, resulting in 64 total articles. These articles represented 46 unique patient cohorts and included a total of 105,560 children. For children admitted with a general acute illness, the pooled risk of mortality six months post-discharge was 4.4% (95% CI: 3.5%-5.4%, I2 = 94.2%, n = 11 studies, 34,457 children), and the pooled in-hospital mortality rate was 5.9% (95% CI: 4.2%-7.7%, I2 = 98.7%, n = 12 studies, 63,307 children). Among disease subgroups, severe malnutrition (12.2%, 95% CI: 6.2%-19.7%, I2 = 98.2%, n = 10 studies, 7760 children) and severe anemia (6.4%, 95% CI: 4.2%-9.1%, I2 = 93.3%, n = 9 studies, 7806 children) demonstrated the highest 6-month post-discharge mortality estimates. Diarrhea demonstrated the shortest median time to death (3.3 weeks) and anemia the longest (8.9 weeks). Most significant risk factors for post-discharge mortality included unplanned discharges, severe malnutrition, and HIV seropositivity. Interpretation: Pediatric post-discharge mortality rates remain high in resource-poor settings, especially among children admitted with malnutrition or anemia. Global health strategies must prioritize this health issue by dedicating resources to research and policy innovation. Funding: No specific funding was received.

Verbal Autopsy to Assess Postdischarge Mortality in Children With Suspected Sepsis in Uganda.

BACKGROUND: Reducing child mortality in low-income countries is constrained by a lack of vital statistics. In the absence of such data, verbal autopsies provide an acceptable method to determining attributable causes of death. The objective was to assess potential causes of pediatric postdischarge mortality in children younger than age 5 years (under-5) originally admitted for suspected sepsis using verbal autopsies. METHODS: Secondary analysis of verbal autopsy data from children admitted to 6 hospitals across Uganda from July 2017 to March 2020. Structured verbal autopsy interviews were conducted for all deaths within 6 months after discharge. Two physicians independently classified a primary cause of death, up to 4 alternative causes, and up to 5 contributing conditions using the Start-Up Mortality List, with discordance resolved by consensus. RESULTS: Verbal autopsies were completed for 361 (98.6%) of the 366 (5.9%) children who died among 6191 discharges (median admission age: 5.4 months [interquartile range, 1.8-16.7]; median time to mortality: 28 days [interquartile range, 9-74]). Most deaths (62.3%) occurred in the community. Leading primary causes of death, assigned in 356 (98.6%) of cases, were pneumonia (26.2%), sepsis (22.1%), malaria (8.5%), and diarrhea (7.9%). Common contributors to death were malnutrition (50.5%) and anemia (25.7%). Reviewers were less confident in their causes of death for neonates than older children (P < .05). CONCLUSIONS: Postdischarge mortality frequently occurred in the community in children admitted for suspected sepsis in Uganda. Analyses of the probable causes for these deaths using verbal autopsies suggest potential areas for interventions, focused on early detection of infections, as well as prevention and treatment of underlying contributors such as malnutrition and anemia.

Transitions from hospital to home: A mixed methods study to evaluate pediatric discharges in Uganda.

The World Health Organization (WHO) Integrated Management of Childhood Illness (IMCI) guidelines recognize the importance of discharge planning to ensure continuation of care at home and appropriate follow-up. However, insufficient attention has been paid to post discharge planning in many hospitals contributing to poor implementation. To understand the reasons for suboptimal discharge, we evaluated the pediatric discharge process from hospital admission through the transition to care within the community in Ugandan hospitals. This mixed methods prospective study enrolled 92 study participants in three phases: patient journey mapping for 32 admitted children under-5 years of age with suspected or proven infection, discharge process mapping with 24 pediatric healthcare workers, and focus group discussions with 36 primary caregivers and fathers of discharged children. Data were descriptively and thematically analyzed. We found that the typical discharge process is often not centered around the needs of the child and family. Discharge planning often does not begin until immediately prior to discharge and generally does not include caregiver input. Discharge education and counselling are generally limited, rarely involves the father, and does not focus significantly on post-discharge care or follow-up. Delays in the discharge process itself occur at multiple points, including while awaiting a physical discharge order and then following a discharge order, mainly with billing or transportation issues. Poor peri-discharge care is a significant barrier to optimizing health outcomes among children in Uganda. Process improvements including initiation of early discharge planning, improved communication between healthcare workers and caregivers, as well as an increased focus on post-discharge care, are key to ensuring safe transitions from facility-based care to home-based care among children recovering from severe illness.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of Smart Triage, a data-driven pediatric sepsis triage platform in Eastern Uganda.

BACKGROUND: Sepsis, characterized by organ dysfunction due to presumed or proven infection, has a case-fatality over 20% in severe cases in low-and-middle income countries. Early diagnosis and treatment have proven benefits, prompting our implementation of Smart Triage at Jinja Regional Referral Hospital in Uganda, a program that expedites treatment through a data-driven triage platform. We conducted a cost-effectiveness analysis of Smart Triage to explore its impact on patients and inform multicenter scale up. METHODS: The parent clinical trial for Smart Triage was pre-post in design, using the proportion of children receiving sepsis treatment within one hour as the primary outcome, a measure linked to mortality benefit in existing literature. We used a decision-analytic model with Monte Carlo simulation to calculate the cost per year-of-life-lost (YLL) averted of Smart Triage from societal, government, and patient perspectives. Healthcare utilization and lost work for seven days post-discharge were translated into costs and productivity losses via secondary linkage data. RESULTS: In 2021 United States dollars, Smart Triage requires an annuitized program cost of only $0.05 per child, but results in $15.32 saved per YLL averted. At a willingness-to-pay threshold of only $3 per YLL averted, well below published cost-effectiveness threshold estimates for Uganda, Smart Triage approaches 100% probability of cost-effectiveness over the baseline manual triage system. This cost-effectiveness was observed from societal, government, and patient perspectives. The cost-effectiveness observed was driven by a reduction in admission that, while explainable by an improved triage mechanism, may also be partially attributable to changes in healthcare utilization influenced by the coronavirus pandemic. However, Smart Triage remains cost-effective in sensitivity analyses introducing a penalty factor of up to 50% in the reduction in admission. CONCLUSION: Smart Triage's ability to both save costs and avert YLLs indicates that patients benefit both economically and clinically, while its high probability of cost-effectiveness strongly supports multicenter scale up. Areas for further research include the incorporation of years lived with disability when sepsis disability weights in low-resource settings become available and analyzing budget impact during multicenter scale up. TRIAL REGISTRATION: NCT04304235 (registered on 11/03/2020, clinicaltrials.gov).

Repeatability of Pulse Oximetry Measurements in Children During Triage in 2 Ugandan Hospitals.

BACKGROUND: In low- and middle-income countries, health workers use pulse oximeters for intermittent spot measurements of oxygen saturation (SpO2). However, the accuracy and reliability of pulse oximeters for spot measurements have not been determined. We evaluated the repeatability of spot measurements and the ideal observation time to guide recommendations during spot check measurements. METHODS: Two 1-minute measurements were taken for the 3,903 subjects enrolled in the study conducted April 2020-January 2022 in Uganda, collecting 1 Hz SpO2 and signal quality index (SQI) data. The repeatability between the 2 measurements was assessed using an intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC), calculated using a median of all seconds of non-zero SpO2 values for each recording (any quality, Q1) and again with a quality filter only using seconds with SQI 90% or higher (good quality, Q2). The ICC was also recalculated for both conditions of Q1 and Q2 using the initial 5 seconds, then the initial 10 seconds, and continuing with 5-second increments up to the full 60 seconds. Lastly, the whole minute ICC was calculated with good quality (Q2), including only records where both measurements had a mean SQI of more than 70% (Q3). RESULTS: The repeatability ICC with condition Q1 was 0.591 (95% confidence interval [CI]=0.570, 0.611). Using only the first 5 seconds of each measurement reduced the repeatability to 0.200 (95% CI=0.169, 0.230). Filtering with Q2, the whole-minute ICC was 0.855 (95% CI=0.847, 0.864). The ICC did not improve beyond the first 35 seconds. For Q3, the repeatability rose to 0.908 (95% CI=0.901, 0.914). CONCLUSIONS: Training guidelines must emphasize the importance of signal quality and duration of measurement, targeting a minimum of 35 seconds of adequate-quality, stable data. In addition, the design of new devices should incorporate user prompts and force quality checks to encourage more accurate pulse oximetry measurements.

Developing and testing a clinical care bundle incorporating caffeine citrate to manage apnoea of prematurity in a resource-constrained setting: a mixed methods clinical feasibility study protocol.

BACKGROUND: Apnoea of prematurity (AOP) is a common condition among preterm infants. Methylxanthines, such as caffeine and aminophylline/theophylline, can help prevent and treat AOP. Due to its physiological benefits and fewer side effects, caffeine citrate is recommended for the prevention and treatment of AOP. However, caffeine citrate is not available in most resource-constrained settings (RCS) due to its high cost. Challenges in RCS using caffeine citrate to prevent AOP include identifying eligible preterm infants where gestational age is not always known and the capability for continuous monitoring of vital signs to readily identify apnoea. We aim to develop an evidence-based care bundle that includes caffeine citrate to prevent and manage AOP in tertiary healthcare facilities in Kenya. METHODS: This protocol details a prospective mixed-methods clinical feasibility study on using caffeine citrate to manage apnoea of prematurity in a single facility tertiary-care newborn unit (NBU) in Nairobi, Kenya. This study will include a 4-month formative research phase followed by the development of an AOP clinical-care-bundle prototype over 2 months. In the subsequent 4 months, implementation and improvement of the clinical-care-bundle prototype will be undertaken. The baseline data will provide contextualised insights on care practices within the NBU that will inform the development of a context-sensitive AOP clinical-care-bundle prototype. The clinical care bundle will be tested and refined further during an implementation phase of the quality improvement initiative using a PDSA framework underpinned by quantitative and qualitative clinical audits and stakeholders' engagement. The quantitative component will include all neonates born at gestation age < 34 weeks and any neonate prescribed aminophylline or caffeine citrate admitted to the NBU during the study period. DISCUSSION: There is a need to develop evidence-based and context-sensitive clinical practice guidelines to standardise and improve the management of AOP in RCS. Concerns requiring resolution in implementing such guidelines include diagnosis of apnoea, optimal timing, dosing and administration of caffeine citrate, standardisation of monitoring devices and alarm limits, and discharge protocols. We aim to provide a feasible standardised clinical care bundle for managing AOP in low and middle-income settings.

Mortality after hospital discharge among children younger than 5 years admitted with suspected sepsis in Uganda: a prospective, multisite, observational cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Substantial mortality occurs after hospital discharge in children younger than 5 years with suspected sepsis, especially in low-income countries. A better understanding of its epidemiology is needed for effective interventions to reduce child mortality in these countries. We evaluated risk factors for death after discharge in children admitted to hospital for suspected sepsis in Uganda, and assessed how these differed by age, time of death, and location of death. METHODS: In this prospective, multisite, observational cohort study, we recruited and consecutively enrolled children aged 0-60 months admitted with suspected sepsis from the community to the paediatric wards of six Ugandan hospitals. Suspected sepsis was defined as the need for admission due to a suspected or proven infectious illness. At admission, trained study nurses systematically collected data on clinical variables, sociodemographic variables, and baseline characteristics with encrypted study tablets. Participants were followed up for 6 months after discharge by field officers who contacted caregivers at 2 months and 4 months after discharge by telephone and at 6 months after discharge in person to measure vital status, health-care seeking after discharge, and readmission details. We assessed 6-month mortality after hospital discharge among those discharged alive, with verbal autopsies conducted for children who had died after hospital discharge. FINDINGS: Between July 13, 2017, and March 30, 2020, 16 991 children were screened for eligibility. 6545 children (2927 [44·72%] female children and 3618 [55·28%] male children) were enrolled and 6191 were discharged from hospital alive. 6073 children (2687 [44·2%] female children and 3386 [55·8%] male children) completed follow-up. 366 children died in the 6-month period after discharge (weighted mortality rate 5·5%). Median time from discharge to death was 28 days (IQR 9-74). For the 360 children for whom location of death was documented, deaths occurred at home (162 [45·0%]), in transit to care (66 [18·3%]), or in hospital (132 [36·7%]) during a subsequent readmission. Death after hospital discharge was strongly associated with weight-for-age Z scores less than -3 (adjusted risk ratio [aRR] 4·7, 95% CI 3·7-5·8 vs a Z score of >-2), discharge or referral to a higher level of care (7·3, 5·6-9·5), and unplanned discharge (3·2, 2·5-4·0). Hazard ratios (HRs) for severe anaemia (<7g/dL) increased with time since discharge, from 1·7 (95% CI 0·9-3·0) for death occurring in the first time tertile to 5·2 (3·1-8·5) in the third time tertile. HRs for some discharge vulnerabilities decreased significantly with increasing time since discharge, including unplanned discharge (from 4.5 [2·9-6·9] in the first tertile to 2·0 [1·3-3·2] in the third tertile) and poor feeding status (from 7·7 [5·4-11·0] to 1·84 [1·0-3·3]). Age interacted with several variables, including reduced weight-for-age Z score, severe anaemia, and reduced admission temperature. INTERPRETATION: Paediatric mortality following hospital discharge after suspected sepsis is common, with diminishing, although persistent, risk during the first 6 months after discharge. Efforts to improve outcomes after hospital discharge are crucial to achieving Sustainable Development Goal 3.2 (ending preventable childhood deaths under age 5 years). FUNDING: Grand Challenges Canada, Thrasher Research Fund, BC Children's Hospital Foundation, and Mining4Life.

Risk factors for postpartum maternal mortality and hospital readmission in low- and middle-income countries: a systematic review.

BACKGROUND: In low- and middle-income countries, approximately two thirds of maternal deaths occur in the postpartum period. Yet, care for women beyond 24 h after discharge is limited. The objective of this systematic review is to summarize current evidence on socio-demographic and clinical risk factors for (1) postpartum mortality and (2) postpartum hospital readmission. METHODS: A combination of keywords and subject headings (i.e. MeSH terms) for postpartum maternal mortality or readmission were searched. Articles published up to January 9, 2021 were identified in MEDLINE, EMBASE, and CINAHL databases, without language restrictions. Studies reporting socio-demographic or clinical risk factors for postpartum mortality or readmission within six weeks of delivery among women who delivered a livebirth in a low- or middle-income country were included. Data were extracted independently by two reviewers based on study characteristics, population, and outcomes. Included studies were assessed for quality and risk of bias using the Downs and Black checklist for ratings of randomized and non-randomized studies. RESULTS: Of 8783 abstracts screened, seven studies were included (total N = 387,786). Risk factors for postpartum mortality included Caesarean mode of delivery, nulliparity, low or very low birthweight, and shock upon admission. Risk factors for postpartum readmission included Caesarean mode of delivery, HIV positive serostatus, and abnormal body temperature. CONCLUSIONS: Few studies reported individual socio-demographic or clinical risk factors for mortality or readmission after delivery in low- and middle-income countries; only Caesarean delivery was consistently reported. Further research is needed to identify factors that put women at greatest risk of post-discharge complications and mortality. Understanding post-discharge risk would facilitate targeted postpartum care and reduce adverse outcomes in women after delivery. TRIAL REGISTRATION: PROSPERO registration number: CRD42018103955.

Choosing blood pressure thresholds to inform pregnancy care in the community: An analysis of cluster trials.

OBJECTIVE: To inform digital health design by evaluating diagnostic test properties of antenatal blood pressure (BP) outputs and levels to identify women at risk of adverse outcomes. DESIGN: Planned secondary analysis of cluster randomised trials. SETTING: India, Pakistan, Mozambique. POPULATION: Women with in-community BP measurements and known pregnancy outcomes. METHODS: Blood pressure was defined by its outputs (systolic and/or diastolic, systolic only, diastolic only or mean arterial pressure [calculated]) and level: normotension-1 (<135/85 mmHg), normotension-2 (135-139/85-89 mmHg), non-severe hypertension (140-149/90-99 mmHg; 150-154/100-104 mmHg; 155-159/105-109 mmHg) and severe hypertension (≥160/110 mmHg). Dose-response (adjusted risk ratio [aRR]) and diagnostic test properties (negative [-LR] and positive [+LR] likelihood ratios) were estimated. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Maternal/perinatal composites of mortality/morbidity. RESULTS: Among 21 069 pregnancies, different BP outputs had similar aRR, -LR, and +LR for adverse outcomes. No BP level (even normotension-1) was associated with low risk (all -LR ≥0.20). Across outcomes, risks rose progressively with higher BP levels above normotension-1. For each of maternal central nervous system events and stillbirth, BP ≥155/105 mmHg showed at least good diagnostic test performance (+LR ≥5.0) and BP ≥135/85 mmHg at least fair performance, similar to BP ≥140/90 mmHg (+LR 2.0-4.99). CONCLUSIONS: In the community, normal BP values do not provide reassurance about subsequent adverse outcomes. Given the similar performance of BP cut-offs of 135/85 and 140/90 mmHg for hypertension, and 155/105 and 160/110 mmHg for severe hypertension, digital decision support for women in the community should consider using these lower thresholds.

Pediatric post-discharge mortality in resource-poor countries: A protocol for an updated systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: More than 50 countries, mainly in Sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia, are not on course to meet the neonatal and under-five mortality target set by the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) for the year 2030. One important, yet neglected, aspect of child mortality rates is deaths occurring during the post-discharge period. For children living in resource-poor countries, the rate of post-discharge mortality within the first several months after discharge is often as high as the rates observed during the initial admission period. This has generally been observed within the context of acute illness and has been closely linked to underlying conditions such as malnutrition, HIV, and anemia. These post-discharge mortality rates tend to be underreported and present a major oversight in the efforts to reduce overall child mortality. This review will explore recurrent illness following discharge through determination of rates of, and risk factors for, pediatric post-discharge mortality in resource-poor settings. METHODS: Eligible studies will be retrieved using MEDLINE, EMBASE, and CINAHL databases. Only studies with a post-discharge observation period of more than 7 days following discharge will be eligible for inclusion. Secondary outcomes will include post-discharge mortality relative to in-hospital mortality, overall readmission rates, pooled estimates of risk factors (e.g. admission details vs discharge factors, clinical vs social factors), pooled post-discharge mortality Kaplan-Meier survival curves, and outcomes by disease subgroups (e.g. malnutrition, anemia, general admissions). A narrative description of the included studies will be synthesized to categorize commonly affected patient population categories and a random-effects meta-analysis will be conducted to quantify overall post-discharge mortality rates at the 6-month time point. DISCUSSION: Post-discharge mortality contributes to global child mortality rates with a greater burden of deaths occurring in resource-poor settings. Literature concentrated on child mortality published over the last decade has expanded to focus on the fatal outcomes of children post-discharge and associated risk factors. The results from this systematic review will inform current policy and interventions on the epidemiological burden of post-discharge mortality and morbidity following acute illness among children living in resource-poor settings. SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION: PROSPERO Registration ID: CRD42022350975.

Prognostic algorithms for post-discharge readmission and mortality among mother-infant dyads: an observational study protocol.

Introduction: In low-income country settings, the first six weeks after birth remain a critical period of vulnerability for both mother and newborn. Despite recommendations for routine follow-up after delivery and facility discharge, few mothers and newborns receive guideline recommended care during this period. Prediction modelling of post-delivery outcomes has the potential to improve outcomes for both mother and newborn by identifying high-risk dyads, improving risk communication, and informing a patient-centered approach to postnatal care interventions. This study aims to derive post-discharge risk prediction algorithms that identify mother-newborn dyads who are at risk of re-admission or death in the first six weeks after delivery at a health facility. Methods: This prospective observational study will enroll 7,000 mother-newborn dyads from two regional referral hospitals in southwestern and eastern Uganda. Women and adolescent girls aged 12 and above delivering singletons and twins at the study hospitals will be eligible to participate. Candidate predictor variables will be collected prospectively by research nurses. Outcomes will be captured six weeks following delivery through a follow-up phone call, or an in-person visit if not reachable by phone. Two separate sets of prediction models will be built, one set of models for newborn outcomes and one set for maternal outcomes. Derivation of models will be based on optimization of the area under the receiver operator curve (AUROC) and specificity using an elastic net regression modelling approach. Internal validation will be conducted using 10-fold cross-validation. Our focus will be on the development of parsimonious models (5-10 predictor variables) with high sensitivity (>80%). AUROC, sensitivity, and specificity will be reported for each model, along with positive and negative predictive values. Discussion: The current recommendations for routine postnatal care are largely absent of benefit to most mothers and newborns due to poor adherence. Data-driven improvements to postnatal care can facilitate a more patient-centered approach to such care. Increasing digitization of facility care across low-income settings can further facilitate the integration of prediction algorithms as decision support tools for routine care, leading to improved quality and efficiency. Such strategies are urgently required to improve newborn and maternal postnatal outcomes. Clinical trial registration: https://clinicaltrials.gov/, identifier (NCT05730387).

Smart triage: Development of a rapid pediatric triage algorithm for use in low-and-middle income countries.

Introduction: Early and accurate recognition of children at risk of progressing to critical illness could contribute to improved patient outcomes and resource allocation. In resource limited settings digital triage tools can support decision making and improve healthcare delivery. We developed a model for rapid identification of critically ill children at triage. Methods: This was a prospective cohort study of acutely ill children presenting at Jinja Regional Referral Hospital in Eastern Uganda. Variables collected in the emergency department informed the development of a logistic model based on hospital admission using bootstrap stepwise regression. Low and high-risk thresholds for 90% minimum sensitivity and specificity, respectively generated three risk level categories. Performance was assessed using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis on a held-out test set generated by an 80:20 split with 10-fold cross validation. A risk stratification table informed clinical interpretation. Results: The model derivation cohort included 1,612 participants, with an admission rate of approximately 23%. The majority of admitted patients were under five years old and presenting with sepsis, malaria, or pneumonia. A 9-predictor triage model was derived: logit (p) = -32.888 + (0.252, square root of age) + (0.016, heart rate) + (0.819, temperature) + (-0.022, mid-upper arm circumference) + (0.048 transformed oxygen saturation) + (1.793, parent concern) + (1.012, difficulty breathing) + (1.814, oedema) + (1.506, pallor). The model afforded good discrimination, calibration, and risk stratification at the selected thresholds of 8% and 40%. Conclusion: In a low income, pediatric population, we developed a nine variable triage model with high sensitivity and specificity to predict who should be admitted. The triage model can be integrated into any digital platform and used with minimal training to guide rapid identification of critically ill children at first contact. External validation and clinical implementation are in progress.

Automated digital technologies for supporting sepsis prediction in children: a scoping review protocol.

INTRODUCTION: While there have been several literature reviews on the performance of digital sepsis prediction technologies and clinical decision-support algorithms for adults, there remains a knowledge gap in examining the development of automated technologies for sepsis prediction in children. This scoping review will critically analyse the current evidence on the design and performance of automated digital technologies to predict paediatric sepsis, to advance their development and integration within clinical settings. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: This scoping review will follow Arksey and O'Malley's framework, conducted between February and December 2022. We will further develop the protocol using the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses extension for scoping reviews. We plan to search the following databases: Association of Computing Machinery (ACM) Digital Library, Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature (CINAHL), Embase, Google Scholar, Institute of Electric and Electronic Engineers (IEEE), PubMed, Scopus and Web of Science. Studies will be included on children >90 days postnatal to <21 years old, predicted to have or be at risk of developing sepsis by a digitalised model or algorithm designed for a clinical setting. Two independent reviewers will complete the abstract and full-text screening and the data extraction. Thematic analysis will be used to develop overarching concepts and present the narrative findings with quantitative results and descriptive statistics displayed in data tables. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: Ethics approval for this scoping review study of the available literature is not required. We anticipate that the scoping review will identify the current evidence and design characteristics of digital prediction technologies for the timely and accurate prediction of paediatric sepsis and factors influencing clinical integration. We plan to disseminate the preliminary findings from this review at national and international research conferences in global and digital health, gathering critical feedback from multidisciplinary stakeholders. SCOPING REVIEW REGISTRATION: https://osf.io/veqha/?view_only=f560d4892d7c459ea4cff6dcdfacb086.

Health worker perspectives of Smart Triage, a digital triaging platform for quality improvement at a referral hospital in Uganda: a qualitative analysis.

BACKGROUND: Effective triage at hospitals can improve outcomes for children globally by helping identify and prioritize care for those most at-risk of death. Paper-based pediatric triage guidelines have been developed to support frontline health workers in low-resource settings, but these guidelines can be challenging to implement. Smart Triage is a digital triaging platform for quality improvement (QI) that aims to address this challenge. Smart Triage represents a major cultural and behavioural shift in terms of managing patients at health facilities in low-and middle-income countries. The purpose of this study is to understand user perspectives on the usability, feasibility, and acceptability of Smart Triage to inform ongoing and future implementation. METHODS: This was a descriptive qualitative study comprising of face-to-face interviews with health workers (n = 15) at a regional referral hospital in Eastern Uganda, conducted as a sub-study of a larger clinical trial to evaluate Smart Triage (NCT04304235). Thematic analysis was used to assess the usability, feasibility, and acceptability of the platform, focusing on its use in stratifying and prioritizing patients according to their risk and informing QI initiatives implemented by health workers. RESULTS: With appropriate training and experience, health workers found most features of Smart Triage usable and feasible to implement, and reported the platform was acceptable due to its positive impact on reducing the time to treatment for emergency pediatric cases and its use in informing QI initiatives within the pediatric ward. Several factors that reduced the feasibility and acceptability were identified, including high staff turnover, a lack of medical supplies at the hospital, and challenges with staff attitudes. CONCLUSION: Health workers can use the Smart Triage digital triaging platform to identify and prioritize care for severely ill children and improve quality of care at health facilities in low-resource settings. Future innovation is needed to address identified feasibility and acceptability challenges; however, this platform could potentially address some of the challenges to implementing current paper-based systems.

A 2-Phase Survey to Assess a Facility's Readiness for Pediatric Essential Emergency and Critical Care in Resource-Limited Settings: A Literature Review and Survey Development.

OBJECTIVE: Infectious diseases, including pneumonia, malaria, and diarrheal diseases, are the leading causes of death in children younger than 5 years worldwide. The vast majority of these deaths occur in resource-limited settings where there is significant variation in the availability and type of human, physical, and infrastructural resources. The ability to identity gaps in healthcare systems that may hinder their ability to deliver care is an important step to determining specific interventions for quality improvement. Our study objective was to develop a comprehensive, digital, open-access health facility survey to assess facility readiness to provide pediatric critical care in resource-limited settings (eg, low- and lower middle-income countries). METHODS: A literature review of existing facility assessment tools and global guidelines was conducted to generate a database of survey questions. These were then mapped to one of the following 8 domains: hospital statistics, services offered, operational flow, facility infrastructure, staff and training, medicines and equipment, diagnostic capacity, and quality of clinical care. A 2-phase survey was developed and an iterative review process of the survey was undertaken with 12 experts based in low- and middle-income countries. This was built into the REDCap Mobile Application for electronic data capture. RESULTS: The literature review process yielded 7 facility assessment tools and 7 global guidelines for inclusion. After the iterative review process, the final survey consisted of 11 sections with 457 unique questions in the first phase, "environmental scan," focusing on the infrastructure, availability, and functionality of resources, and 3 sections with 131 unique questions in the second phase, "observation scan," focusing on the level of clinical competency. CONCLUSIONS: A comprehensive 2-phase survey was created to evaluate facility readiness for pediatric critical care. Results will assist hospital administrators and policymakers to determine priority areas for quality improvement, enabling them to implement a Plan-Do-Study-Act cycle to improve care for the critically ill child.

Clinical feasibility of an advanced neonatal epidermal multiparameter continuous monitoring technology in a large public maternity hospital in Nairobi, Kenya.

Clinically feasible multiparameter continuous physiological monitoring technologies are needed for use in resource-constrained African healthcare facilities to allow for early detection of critical events and timely intervention for major morbidities in high-risk neonates. We conducted a prospective clinical feasibility study of a novel multiparameter continuous physiological monitoring technology in neonates at Pumwani Maternity Hospital in Nairobi, Kenya. To assess feasibility, we compared the performance of Sibel's Advanced Neonatal Epidermal (ANNE) technology to reference technologies, including Masimo's Rad-97 pulse CO-oximeter with capnography technology for heart rate (HR), respiratory rate (RR), and oxygen saturation (SpO2) measurements and Spengler's Tempo Easy non-contact infrared thermometer for temperature measurements. We evaluated key performance criteria such as up-time, clinical event detection performance, and the agreement of measurements compared to those from the reference technologies in an uncontrolled, real-world setting. Between September 15 and December 15, 2020, we collected and analyzed 503 h of ANNE data from 109 enrolled neonates. ANNE's up-time was 42 (11%) h more for HR, 77 (25%) h more for RR, and 6 (2%) h less for SpO2 compared to the Rad-97. However, ANNE's ratio of up-time to total attached time was less than Rad-97's for HR (0.79 vs 0.86), RR (0.68 vs. 0.79), and SpO2 (0.69 vs 0.86). ANNE demonstrated adequate performance in identifying high and low HR and RR and high temperature events; however, showed relatively poor performance for low SpO2 events. The normalized spread of limits of agreement were 8.4% for HR and 52.2% for RR and the normalized root-mean-square deviation was 4.4% for SpO2. Temperature agreement showed a spread of limits of agreement of 2.8 °C. The a priori-identified optimal limits were met for HR and temperature but not for RR or SpO2. ANNE was clinically feasible for HR and temperature but not RR and SpO2 as demonstrated by the technology's up-time, clinical event detection performance, and the agreement of measurements compared to those from the reference technologies.

Evaluation of Sibel's Advanced Neonatal Epidermal (ANNE) wireless continuous physiological monitor in Nairobi, Kenya.

BACKGROUND: Neonatal multiparameter continuous physiological monitoring (MCPM) technologies assist with early detection of preventable and treatable causes of neonatal mortality. Evaluating accuracy of novel MCPM technologies is critical for their appropriate use and adoption. METHODS: We prospectively compared the accuracy of Sibel's Advanced Neonatal Epidermal (ANNE) technology with Masimo's Rad-97 pulse CO-oximeter with capnography and Spengler's Tempo Easy reference technologies during four evaluation rounds. We compared accuracy of heart rate (HR), respiratory rate (RR), oxygen saturation (SpO2), and skin temperature using Bland-Altman plots and root-mean-square deviation analyses (RMSD). Sibel's ANNE algorithms were optimized between each round. We created Clarke error grids with zones of 20% to aid with clinical interpretation of HR and RR results. RESULTS: Between November 2019 and August 2020 we collected 320 hours of data from 84 neonates. In the final round, Sibel's ANNE technology demonstrated a normalized bias of 0% for HR and 3.1% for RR, and a non-normalized bias of -0.3% for SpO2 and 0.2°C for temperature. The normalized spread between 95% upper and lower limits-of-agreement (LOA) was 4.7% for HR and 29.3% for RR. RMSD for SpO2 was 1.9% and 1.5°C for temperature. Agreement between Sibel's ANNE technology and the reference technologies met the a priori-defined thresholds for 95% spread of LOA and RMSD. Clarke error grids showed that all HR and RR observations were within a 20% difference. CONCLUSION: Our findings suggest acceptable agreement between Sibel's ANNE and reference technologies. Clinical effectiveness, feasibility, usability, acceptability, and cost-effectiveness investigations are necessary for large-scale implementation.

Assessment of neonatal respiratory rate variability.

Accurate measurement of respiratory rate (RR) in neonates is challenging due to high neonatal RR variability (RRV). There is growing evidence that RRV measurement could inform and guide neonatal care. We sought to quantify neonatal RRV during a clinical study in which we compared multiparameter continuous physiological monitoring (MCPM) devices. Measurements of capnography-recorded exhaled carbon dioxide across 60-s epochs were collected from neonates admitted to the neonatal unit at Aga Khan University-Nairobi hospital. Breaths were manually counted from capnograms and using an automated signal detection algorithm which also calculated mean and median RR for each epoch. Outcome measures were between- and within-neonate RRV, between- and within-epoch RRV, and 95% limits of agreement, bias, and root-mean-square deviation. Twenty-seven neonates were included, with 130 epochs analysed. Mean manual breath count (MBC) was 48 breaths per minute. Median RRV ranged from 11.5% (interquartile range (IQR) 6.8-18.9%) to 28.1% (IQR 23.5-36.7%). Bias and limits of agreement for MBC vs algorithm-derived breath count, MBC vs algorithm-derived median breath rate, MBC vs algorithm-derived mean breath rate were - 0.5 (- 2.7, 1.66), - 3.16 (- 12.12, 5.8), and - 3.99 (- 11.3, 3.32), respectively. The marked RRV highlights the challenge of performing accurate RR measurements in neonates. More research is required to optimize the use of RRV to improve care. When evaluating MCPM devices, accuracy thresholds should be less stringent in newborns due to increased RRV. Lastly, median RR, which discounts the impact of extreme outliers, may be more reflective of the underlying physiological control of breathing.

Clinical feasibility of a contactless multiparameter continuous monitoring technology for neonates in a large public maternity hospital in Nairobi, Kenya.

Multiparameter continuous physiological monitoring (MCPM) technologies are critical in the clinical management of high-risk neonates; yet, these technologies are frequently unavailable in many African healthcare facilities. We conducted a prospective clinical feasibility study of EarlySense's novel under-mattress MCPM technology in neonates at Pumwani Maternity Hospital in Nairobi, Kenya. To assess feasibility, we compared the performance of EarlySense's technology to Masimo's Rad-97 pulse CO-oximeter with capnography technology for heart rate (HR) and respiratory rate (RR) measurements using up-time, clinical event detection performance, and accuracy. Between September 15 and December 15, 2020, we collected and analyzed 470 hours of EarlySense data from 109 enrolled neonates. EarlySense's technology's up-time per neonate was 2.9 (range 0.8, 5.3) hours for HR and 2.1 (range 0.9, 4.0) hours for RR. The difference compared to the reference was a median of 0.6 (range 0.1, 3.1) hours for HR and 0.8 (range 0.1, 2.9) hours for RR. EarlySense's technology identified high HR and RR events with high sensitivity (HR 81%; RR 83%) and specificity (HR 99%; RR 83%), but was less sensitive for low HR and RR (HR 0%; RR 14%) although maintained specificity (HR 100%; RR 95%). There was a greater number of false negative and false positive RR events than false negative and false positive HR events. The normalized spread of limits of agreement was 9.6% for HR and 28.6% for RR, which met the a priori-identified limit of 30%. EarlySense's MCPM technology was clinically feasible as demonstrated by high percentage of up-time, strong clinical event detection performance, and agreement of HR and RR measurements compared to the reference technology. Studies in critically ill neonates, assessing barriers and facilitators to adoption, and costing analyses will be key to the technology's development and potential uptake and scale-up.